BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Western Michigan 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Western Michigan 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.64 |
25.14 (+2.50) |
22.60 |
16.71 (-5.89) |
19.87 (+3.16) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
341.36 |
341.08 (-0.28) |
292.60 |
234.33 (-58.27) |
274.37 (+40.03) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.96 |
4.87 (-0.08) |
5.08 |
4.34 (-0.75) |
4.54 (+0.20) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.09 |
38.92 (+5.83) |
35.40 |
36.14 (+0.74) |
37.18 (+1.04) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
384.82 |
485.00 (+100.19) |
462.60 |
488.61 (+26.01) |
487.26 (-1.35) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.17 |
7.14 (+0.96) |
6.81 |
7.19 (+0.38) |
7.17 (-0.02) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Wisconsin |
12.95 |
42.11 |
+29.16 |
55.06 |
3.23% |
L 14-28 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Ohio State |
5.57 |
60.66 |
+55.09 |
66.24 |
0.10% |
L 0-56 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Bethune-Cookman |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 59-31 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Marshall |
21.75 |
38.09 |
+16.34 |
59.84 |
23.79% |
L 20-27 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Ball State |
32.37 |
23.18 |
-9.19 |
55.56 |
64.74% |
W 45-42 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Akron |
34.43 |
20.49 |
-13.94 |
54.92 |
72.36% |
W 34-24 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Buffalo |
20.94 |
27.63 |
+6.69 |
48.57 |
39.27% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Kent State |
42.83 |
22.17 |
-20.66 |
65.00 |
83.14% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-07 |
Northern Illinois |
19.24 |
28.49 |
+9.25 |
47.73 |
35.16% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-12 |
@Bowling Green |
20.78 |
35.10 |
+14.32 |
55.88 |
27.03% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-19 |
@Central Michigan |
29.14 |
26.80 |
-2.34 |
55.94 |
53.76% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Eastern Michigan |
30.55 |
35.09 |
+4.54 |
65.64 |
42.72% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
1.32% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
10.96% |
1.32% |
98.68% |
| 5-7 |
27.92% |
12.28% |
87.72% |
| 6-6 |
33.02% |
40.20% |
59.80% |
| 7-5 |
19.97% |
73.22% |
26.78% |
| 8-4 |
6.08% |
93.19% |
6.81% |
| 9-3 |
0.73% |
99.27% |
0.73% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.09% |
| 2-10 |
1.23% |
| 3-9 |
6.46% |
| 4-8 |
17.20% |
| 5-7 |
27.01% |
| 6-6 |
25.70% |
| 7-5 |
15.48% |
| 8-4 |
5.52% |
| 9-3 |
1.21% |
| 10-2 |
0.11% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |